One thing I find fascinating about the renewable energy industry, in its current incarnation, is that it seems to be founded on the notion that we are living in the late nineteenth century.
That may come across as a bit harsh, and I don't intend to throw spit-balls at people who are trying to do important work. But we do need to re-evaluate the way the renewable energy industry does business, and the core assumptions embedded within many renewable energy businesses.
In particular, I'm referring to the assumption that renewable energy should be a functionally equivalent alternative to dirty energy. That is to say, the renewable energy industry currently strives to replace (or in some cases to augment) things like coal-fired power plants with solar arrays, wind turbines, and geothermal plants. The operative notion, at least for the US renewable energy industry, is that we are living in a time when electricity is not already widely available and affordable.
Of course, in the industrialized world, electricity is widely available and affordable. It is so affordable, that renewable energy is too expensive to compete effectively with coal and natural gas. The solution, it appears, is to ask government to incentivize renewable energy in one way or another, to spur scale-up investment or to increase the cost of dirty energy, leaving renewable energy more competitive as a result. I support this solution whole-heartedly, for a number of reasons - dirty energy generates far too many externalities to be borne by those who can least afford them, and, at least in the United States, government at every level has done more than enough, for far too long, to boost dirty energies. It's time to give renewables a fair shake.
Beyond government action, the renewable energy industry also needs to rethink its product.
What if renewable energy was not just functionally equivalent to dirty energy? What if it was a superior product, that made life easier and better, on top of the benefits of electricity? Then the issue of price might not be so important - many consumers would be willing to pay a premium for a service that provides "renewable energy plus".
For example, suppose that it were possible to install a special kind of rooftop solar panel on a consumer's home, which would not only provide the consumer with renewable energy, but would also automatically clean the dishes, sweep the floor, and wash the clothes. That's a pretty far-fetched scenario, but it's easy to see how a consumer might sign up for an installation, even if the electricity was a bit more expensive than the stuff hawked by the local coal-fired plant. This new product would make life easier and more hassle-free! I know I'd pay a bit extra for that.
Although this idea may sound like something straight out of The Jetsons, progress is already being made on similar, more realistic, concepts. Earlier this week I was at an event with New Generation Energy, and spoke with Warren Anderson, the founder of Hydrolosophy. He is part of a team working on an innovative new approach to renewable energy; the idea will be presented as a business plan in the Ignite Clean Energy competition next summer. While I don't want to give too much away, the basic idea is to develop an commercial-scale renewable energy system which also provides a number of other services, and thereby garner a number of additional revenue streams. The resulting service will therefore have significantly more profit potential than traditional renewable energy systems.
Power generation is certainly not my specialty, but my guess is that the most likely candidates for add-on products to come out of a renewable energy system are going to be things like clean water, fairly basic motive force, and beneficial chemicals or simple life forms. With the right kind of engineering, those basic outputs can be turned into very valuable end products for the consumer, resulting in a dramatically more competitive renewable energy industry.
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